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FIRST QUARTER 2020 RETROSPECTIVE AND PROSPECTIVE

The first quarter of 2020 started off well but didn’t end that way. At the beginning of the year, we expressed concerns over the level of market valuations, rising global debt levels, international trade disputes and their effect on supply chains and business planning as well as other geopolitical tensions. Admittedly, we did not factor in a sudden GLOBAL PANDEMIC!
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BNN Bloomberg Market Call – Michael Sprung’s Top Picks: Dec. 3, 2019

Global economic growth has been anemic in the expansion since the Financial Crisis. U.S. real per capita GDP has advanced at a rate of 1.5 per cent during this period, the slowest expansion rate over a decade since the 1950s. The U.S. economy has done better since Donald Trump took office, but the latest estimates are for slower growth going forward.
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THIRD QUARTER 2019 RETROSPECTIVE AND PROSPECTIVE

Economies are the cumulative reflection of the myriad of transactions taking place every day. In order for a transaction to take place, there must be a buyer and a seller. Both parties to the transaction believe that they are receiving adequate compensation, no matter on which side of the trade they reside. In financial markets, buyers and sellers are expressing differing expectations for the object being sold. Markets have continued to rise for a long period of time, indicative of there being more optimism that economic conditions will continue to improve.
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Michael Sprung’s Outlook and Top Picks on BNN Bloomberg’s Market Call

Trade issues continue to cloud the economic outlook as the tariffs constrain spending and companies seek alternative supply routes in their attempts to minimize the higher costs resulting from the implemetation of the tariffs. Geopolitical issues are contributing to the growing uncertainty as we face federal elections year in Canada and the US, turmoil in the UK with respect to Brexit and increasing tensions the Asia (Hong Kong) and the Middle East.
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